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We introduce heterogeneous expectations in a standard housing market model linking housing rental levels to Oerbro buying prices. We find that the data support heterogeneity in expectations, with temporary endogenous switching between fundamental mean-reverting and trend-following chartists beliefs based on their relative performance. For all countries we identify temporary house price bubbles, amplified by trend extrapolation, and crashes reinforced by fundamentalists. The qualitative predictions of such non-linear models are housd different from standard linear benchmarks, with important policy Bolt house Orebro. The fundamental price becomes unstable, e.

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By Wilko Bolt, Maria Demertzis, C.G.H. Diks and Marco van der Leij; Abstract: We introduce heterogeneous expectations in a standard housing market model.

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Identifying Booms and Busts in House Prices under Heterogeneous Expectations

Diks and Marco van der Leij Additional contact information C. We introduce heterogeneous expectations in a standard housing market model linking housing rental levels to fundamental buying prices. We find that the Dating sites Hudiksvall ns support heterogeneity in expectations, with temporary endogenous switching between fundamental mean-reverting and trend-following chartists beliefs based on their relative performance.

For all countries we identify temporary Bolt house Orebro price bubbles, ampli ed by trend extrapolation, and crashes reinforced by fundamentalists.

The qualitative predictions of such non-linear models are very different from standard linear benchmarks, with important policy implications. The fundamental price becomes unstable, e.

Journal Article: Identifying booms and busts in house prices under heterogeneous expectations Working Paper: Search for items with the same title.

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Identifying booms and busts in house prices under heterogeneous expectations

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Bolt house Orebro

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EconPapers: Identifying Booms and Busts in House Prices under Heterogeneous Expectations

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