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By Wilko Bolt, Maria Demertzis, C.G.H. Diks and Marco van der Leij; Abstract: We introduce heterogeneous expectations in a standard housing market model.
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Identifying Booms and Busts in House Prices under Heterogeneous Expectations
Diks and Marco van der Leij Additional contact information C. We introduce heterogeneous expectations in a standard housing market model linking housing rental levels to fundamental buying prices. We find that the Dating sites Hudiksvall ns support heterogeneity in expectations, with temporary endogenous switching between fundamental mean-reverting and trend-following chartists beliefs based on their relative performance.
For all countries we identify temporary Bolt house Orebro price bubbles, ampli ed by trend extrapolation, and crashes reinforced by fundamentalists.
The qualitative predictions of such non-linear models are very different from standard linear benchmarks, with important policy implications. The fundamental price becomes unstable, e.
Journal Article: Identifying booms and busts in house prices under heterogeneous expectations Working Paper: Search for items with the same title.
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Identifying booms and busts in house prices under heterogeneous expectations
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EconPapers: Identifying Booms and Busts in House Prices under Heterogeneous Expectations
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